Rose-tinted lenses: how American functionalist strategy inhibits our appreciation of complex conflicts

Strategists and military professionals have previously questioned many of the methodological (theoretical underpinnings, the principles, and rules applied by the discipline) decisions associated with American military strategy, but the direction this essay takes is above and beyond the common methodological rivalries in how we pursue strategic desired future states. To get beyond methodological disputes entirely, we must consider thinking about our thinking as an organization on American strategy. Thus, this article hovers between philosophies, organizational theory, as well as our usually unquestioned belief in something called “strategy”. Questioning things about our basic understanding of the world tends to trigger strong organizational defense mechanisms, for good reason. Critical reflection at deep levels puts our worldview, and our role within it at stake. Nonetheless, as strategic disappointment emerges over multiple complex conflict developments, even the most cherished and guarded choices on how the world ought to work are ripe for critical inquiry. This essay examines the limited single strategic paradigm of the US defense industry and how the latest American National Security Strategy and Army Future Operating Concept (Win in a Complex World through 2030) presents a flawed strategic position. This essay presents valid alternative strategies that operate within different paradigmatic constructs.     

A load-sharing model: The linear breakdown rule

An n-component parallel system is subjected to a known load program. As time passes, components fail in a random manner, which depends on their individual load histories. At any time, the surviving components share the total load according to some rule. The system's life distribution is studied under the linear breakdown rule and it is shown that if the load program is increasing, the system lifetime is IFR. Using the notion of Schur convexity, a stochastic comparison of different systems is obtained. It is also shown that the system failure time is asymptotically normally distributed as the number of components grows large. All these results hold under various load-sharing rules; in fact, we show that the system lifetime distribution is invariant under different load-sharing rules.     

The assignment of storage locations to containers for a container stack

Assigning storage locations to incoming or reshuffled containers is a fundamental problem essential to the operations efficiency of container terminals. The problem is notoriously hard for its combinatorial and dynamic nature. In this article, we minimize the number of reshuffles in assigning storage locations for incoming and reshuffled export containers. For the static problem to empty a given stack without any new container arrival, the optimum reshuffle sequence is identified by an integer program (IP). The integer program captures the evolution of stack configurations as a function of decisions and is of interest by itself. Heuristics based on the integer program are then derived. Their competitiveness in accuracy and time are established by extensive numerical runs comparing them with existing heuristics in literature and in practice as well as with extensions of the existing heuristics. Variants of the IP‐based heuristics are then applied to the dynamic problem with continual retrievals and arrivals of containers. Again, numerical runs confirm that the IP‐based heuristic is competitive. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2009     

潜艇主动使用自航式声诱饵突破单舰搜索仿真研究

在应对单舰反潜搜索的情形下，提出主动使用自航式声诱饵定义，并通过对基本问题的态势描述和相关数学模型的建立，得到了几种典型态势下相应的仿真结果，对潜艇主动使用自航式声诱饵协助突破敌单舰搜索的可行性进行了验证和分析。对潜艇水声对抗有一定的指导意义。